Significant shifts in average payday ratings

By admin, October 27th, 2009,in CEO, credit, credit cards, credit score, economy | Comments Off

Amajor reason why sectors experience significant shifts in their average ratings is the degree of cyclicality. Noncyclical sectors usually have a stable credit trend whereas cyclical sectors are heavily dependent on economic cycles and their rating outlooks move in tandem with the economy even though it has to be pointed out that the rating agencies try to rate through the economic cycle, meaning that cyclical swings should be incorporated in a company’s rating. Macroeconomic dynamics can drive the negative credit trend of industries and single companies, affecting their credit spreads even more than company-specific problems and risks. At this stage we want to point out that external shocks, which endanger geopolitical stability, can bring the whole economic system in disorder. After the tragic events of 11 September 2001 the airline and leisure industries were hit the hardest and a spread widening of 360 and 185 bps respectively was recorded. An average widening of 30–40 bps across all other sectors occurred in the short term, whereas the cyclical industries like automobiles showed higher spread movements than noncyclicals.

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